Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 244.849963 275.950543 310.437808 351.686592 399.902129 454.745201 522.226887
2025-04-27 204.616659 247.033873 298.296061 365.526596 452.443403 562.507989 714.849639
2025-05-04 178.268315 224.705561 283.979753 366.546998 480.792686 636.691320 871.644383
2025-05-11 155.857925 202.961327 265.646928 357.160150 490.812288 684.644616 998.386325
2025-05-18 139.311136 186.385848 251.258950 349.820881 500.659044 731.507437 1130.127891
2025-05-25 131.214026 180.207818 250.063540 360.469784 537.572771 823.990328 1353.333569
2025-06-01 121.402924 170.359945 242.158036 359.455585 555.305034 887.561543 1539.794050
2025-06-08 111.664296 159.582400 231.567774 352.583106 561.848070 932.283749 1700.366181
2025-06-15 104.934039 152.667936 226.093351 353.088365 580.576315 1001.140579 1924.333902
2025-06-22 97.285097 143.646485 216.376421 345.203914 582.983267 1039.307031 2092.372205
2025-06-29 91.841322 137.643086 210.939301 343.970140 597.208060 1102.563014 2332.608295
2025-07-06 84.578083 128.163342 198.952154 329.797826 584.761886 1109.007899 2439.084005
2025-07-13 82.526580 127.175870 201.354934 342.386277 627.399727 1241.817830 2908.515975
2025-07-20 80.855305 126.691342 204.577837 356.911168 676.398877 1399.680945 3505.914801
2025-07-27 77.218823 122.562036 200.973412 357.779726 696.476575 1494.097602 3956.752708
2025-08-03 72.473205 116.178997 192.791790 348.680631 693.292069 1530.757471 4242.228340
2025-08-10 68.415538 110.742691 185.930697 341.553649 693.581297 1576.471125 4576.959119
2025-08-17 66.980239 109.868853 187.458097 351.892383 736.008764 1743.384717 5415.590588
2025-08-24 64.225698 106.422325 183.833653 350.907813 751.086160 1838.246173 6032.029084
2025-08-31 61.005053 101.925959 177.862163 344.235714 751.121731 1889.771210 6500.390509
2025-09-07 58.838903 99.253850 175.256181 344.726272 769.474795 2000.829583 7288.980207
2025-09-14 55.932146 95.028070 169.286065 337.070685 765.486774 2041.537312 7779.170352
2025-09-21 53.903050 92.355576 166.255669 335.872616 778.698633 2141.469990 8624.895014